Can Warmer weather Conditions Crush Corona Virus?
Can Warmer Weather Conditions
Crush Corona Virus?
There's seasonality to many viruses. Flu and cold
viruses tend to peak in winter months, and then die down with warmer weather. Empty,
mocked-up shells of the new corona virus, SARS-CoV-2, and may help explain how
well the virus stands up to heat, humidity and other environmental changes. Corona-viruses
tend to be associated with winter because of how they're spread. In addition,
there's the matter of transmission.
Viruses spread through respiratory droplets that are
released when an infected person coughs or sneezes. And the droplets are more
likely to spread under certain conditions. What we know is that they're [the
droplets] is better at staying afloat when the air is cold and dry.
When the air is humid and warm, [the droplets] fall
to the ground more quickly, and it makes transmission harder. Not every
corona virus hews to the same rules. For instance, the one that causes Middle
East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) has not shown the capacity to spread easily
from person to person.
We've seen, basically, explosive spread inside China
of person-to-person transmission, so in that sense — it really is behaving like
a common-cold causing corona virus. I do think seasonality will play a role. As
this outbreak unfolds and we approach spring and summer, I do think we will see
some tapering off of cases.
We hope when the weather gets warmer it will
diminish a bit. The reason why cold weather is presumed to cause spreading of
coughs, colds and flu is that cold air causes irritation in the nasal passages
and airways, which makes us more susceptible to viral infection. Winter weather
also tends to see people spending more time indoors and clustering together.
This increases the risk of infection.
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